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June Jobs Report — Live Read
Released Thursday Jul 2, 8:30am ET (moved up a day — July 4 is Saturday, so markets are closed Fri Jul 3). It's the last data print and the last trading day before the long weekend. Fill the blanks the second BEA/BLS posts, then record.
⚠ FILL LIVE — replace every ____ with the verified June figure from bls.gov before recording or posting. Do not cite from memory.
Nonfarm payrolls
____K
Prior (May): +172,000 · consensus ~172K
Unemployment rate
__._%
Prior (May): 4.3%
Avg hourly earnings YoY
_._%
Prior (May): +3.4% · +0.3% MoM
Payroll trend
The last few prints (revisions in parens) — drop June in once it's out
March & April were revised +93K higher combined — watch the revisions line, not just the headline.
How the market reads it
Same number, two stories — fill in which one it is
Hot (well above ~172K)
Labor still tight → Fed stays hawkish (June dot median 3.8%, a hike on the table) → cut hopes fade → rate-sensitive stocks wobble into a closed Friday.
Cool (clearly below / rising unemployment)
Softening labor → revives "cuts later this year" talk → relief for rate-sensitive names, but watch for growth-scare framing.
3 ways it hits your money
The TikTok 3-ways structure — the reach-spike post
1Your rate pathStrong jobs = higher-for-longer; weak jobs = the cut conversation comes back. Next Fed: Jul 28-29
2Your debt costIf higher-for-longer holds, variable APRs and new-loan rates stay elevated — another reason to fix the credit file
3The cut-vs-hike oddsThis print plus June CPI (Jul 14) sets the table for the late-July meeting
Sources: BLS Employment Situation (June 2026, released Jul 2 — fill live from bls.gov); prior print May 2026 (+172K, 4.3%, +3.4% YoY wages); Fed June dot plot median 3.8% (federalreserve.gov). Educational content only — not financial advice; no specific trade recommendations or price predictions.